Judge Richard A. Posner offered several comments concerning recent efforts at tort reform, in general, and medical malpractice, in particular. They appear on the weblog that he publishes with Professor Gary S. Becker.
First, he points out that the total cost of malpractice premiums are only about one percent of U.S. health costs.
Second, he notes that while so-called "defensive medicine" may be viewed as an additional cost derived from medical malpractice claims "there may be offsetting benefits, to the extent that defensive medicine actually improves outcomes for patients; and surely it does for at least some."
Third, he points out that "[n]o doubt capping judgments, which is the principal reform that is advocated, has some tendency to reduce premiums, but perhaps not much, because there is evidence that premiums are strongly influenced by the performance of the insurance companies' investment portfolios."
Judge Posner concludes that "it is simplistic to assume that the total annual malpractice premiums paid is a good index of the net social cost of malpractice liability, or that measures to reduce those premiums by capping malpractice liability would result in a net improvement in welfare." He thus warns that "[w]e should be cautious about tort reform. It would be unfortunate if interest-group politics, and anecdotes concerning outlandish lawsuits (such as the suit against McDonald's by the customer who spilled hot coffee in her lap), were allowed to obscure the difficult policy issues."
I have significantly abbrieviated Judge Posner's comments. One should read them in their entirety as well as Professor Becker's response. (Becker points out, inter alia, that the American tort system has a "tendency to underestimate compensatory damages." Of course, the principal suggested correctives to the alleged malpractice crisis generally involve reducing the availability of compensatory damages.)
Reading Posner's and Becker's comments make more obvious the conclusion that the current "debate" in Maryland over the malpractice issue is more of a shouting match than a debate, since the arguments on both sides, particularly those advanced by the Governor, are virtually devoid of any empirical support. By way of example, the proponents of capping compensatory damage awards have not offered any evidence as to the amount malpractice premiums might be reduced as a result of the caps.
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